Don’t you love sensational headlines? I recently ran across two that were intriguing: “VoIP Is Dead” and “Who Killed the VoIP Revolution?”
These headlines demonstrate two popular tricks of the trade among story spinners. The first is to cut to the front of the line for the reader’s attention by saying something creative, profound and controversial. The second is to twist data to say anything they want.
Yes, the two “VoIP death” headlines got my attention, but my observations come to another conclusion: VoIP is a “rolling ball of butcher knives.” I need to credit where credit is due, as this phrase came from a former CEO colleague of mine. He was referring to a previous VoIP company’s momentum, but I think it’s fitting for the entire industry today.
“VoIP Is Dead” was the quote at a conference recently. I didn’t hear the speech, but it would be hard work for someone to twist facts to suggest that it may be true. VoIP is definitely not dead within the competitive or incumbent carrier network. In fact, it’s just coming alive. The technology adoption is in full swing and VoIP is starting provide real benefits for both the service provider and end users.
I certainly don’t think anyone “Killed the VoIP Revolution,” which was the headline of an article commenting on the “VoIP Is Dead” speech. This article’s premise was that it had been claimed that the dawn of the SIP era was the beginning of the end for the monopoly on communications. Since that failed, the revolution is dead. I’m not so sure. Back in the day, I have no doubt there were some people proclaiming the end of the monopoly to get attention, but I think the vast majority of the industry was focused on creating value for ILEC and CLECs alike by using MGCP, SIP or VoATM to bridge the legacy and next-gen networks.
I agree with the article that the last 10 years have been a very long for those competing in this sector, although probably not much more difficult than any developing technology sector that started in the late 1990s. Getting a new technology or company off the ground is hard enough when the economic winds are blowing in your favor. This industry hasn’t exactly had perfect sailing weather over the last decade. The dot com and general tech market implosion in 2000 was followed by a recession that was compounded by the 9/11 tragedy. All of those factors did “clip the wings of some VoIP hopefuls” as stated in the article, but it clipped the wings of many other new technologies and startups across the electronics industry as well.
Despite these macro economic challenges, innovation and progress have been steady. But to give credit for this progress to the larger equipment companies instead of the start-ups would be funny if it weren’t so wrong. VoIP innovation, at least in the U.S., has been driven by many start-ups established around 1999. It has been these smaller, innovative companies supplying the key equipment and software to enable VoIP in the service provider segment. Specifically:
- Two out of three large ILECs deploy a 1999-founded startup’s system to provide VoIP across their new PON networks. This, in essence, is the core of the large ILEC’s VoIP solution.
- Three different equipment start-ups (all founded around 1999) have enabled VoIP and next-gen voice for the vast majority of the IOC, CableCo, and other small and medium sized CLECs in the U.S. Softswitches from these three companies have represented approximately 75 percent of the market since 2000.
- Two different startups (again 1999ish) have dominated the markets for SBCs or Internet offload/next-gen Class 4s.
- There is one unmistakable leader in the enhanced IP applications market, having won eight of the top 10 global service providers.
What’s a revolution without some dead revolutionaries? The VoIP industry isn’t dead, but as with any industry in the making, there are a few carcasses on the side of the road — both large and small companies. With or without the economic backdrop, VoIP will continue to be an important part of the telecom sector. It will be exciting to see how VoIP services continue to grow. The key word here is “grow,” as in alive and kicking today. In fact, this baby is still an infant or perhaps a toddler that will continue to grow and mature, and is a long way from dead! Let me speak on behalf of the industry and steal/ paraphrase a quote from Mark Twain, “The reports of VoIP’s death are greatly exaggerated.” Maybe Monte Python would be better, “I’m not dead yet.” In fact, I’m getting better.
Frederick Reynolds is vice president of marketing for Taqua. Founded in 1998 to develop a next-generation switching platform that would economically deliver advanced communications capabilities, Taqua offers a platform that serves as the center piece within a graceful transition into a converged network infrastructure (IP/TDM). Today, hundreds of carriers of all types and sizes utilize the Taqua central office switch, intelligent gateway, and enhanced applications to deliver innovative services to both legacy TDM and VoIP subscribers.